- 1 The entire study may be found in the report by BAYENET, B., CARLIER, J., TOJEROW, I. and VERDONCK, (...)
1On the night of November 8-9, 2022, Bruss'help conducted a survey of homeless people in the Brussels-Capital Region (BCR): 7 134 people were counted, which represents an 18,9 % increase since the last survey in 2020. This increase has once again raised many questions about the effectiveness of public policies for the prevention of homelessness. The research summarised here was aimed at answering such questions and at objectifying the situation by estimating the costs associated with homelessness and those associated with rehousing, in order to be able to compare them1.
2As regards the cost of homelessness, one automatically thinks of the costs associated with measures such as shelters, emergency accommodation, street work, etc. These measures represented a cost of over € 65 million in 2021 for COCOM, COCOF and the federal government (see Table 1). This figure does not include additional funding from VGC, VG, BCR or private donations, for which data were not available. When this amount is divided by the number of homeless people in 2020 (i.e. 5 313, which was the latest figure available at the time of conducting the research), we obtain an average amount of 12 265,58 euros spent per homeless person in 2021 (excluding the specific COVID budget).
3This amount may already seem significant. However, it does not take into account a series of other expenses incurred indirectly on behalf of the homeless. The total costs of homelessness can be divided into 4 categories: direct costs (related to services dedicated specifically to homeless people, as listed in Table 1), indirect costs (services not dedicated specifically to homeless people), lost tax revenue (due to a person not paying taxes or contributions) and finally, the cost of lost years of life.
Table 1. Funding budget for the various services dedicated specifically to the homeless in the Brussels-Capital Region in 2021
Source: 2021 adjusted budget for COCOM, COCOF and the federal government
Figure 1. Flow chart of all costs related to homelessness in the Brussels-Capital Region
4An analysis of the average frequency of use of these various services in terms of the number of days per year as well as a number of hypotheses allow a total annual cost of the use of services per homeless person to be estimated at between 40 000 and 52 000 euros. Certain costs shown in Figure 1 could not be included in the analysis, such as food aid or costs related to the criminal justice system, which implies an underestimation of the actual cost.
Table 2. Estimated average annual cost per homeless person according to frequency of use of services in the Brussels-Capital Region in 2019
Source: DULBEA calculations. The figures are from 2019, the last year for which complete data were available when the study was conducted
5In addition to being underestimated, the estimate of an average cost per homeless person masks the diversity in terms of backgrounds and the use of services for this population. An analysis based on illustrations mitigates this effect by making the same calculation for specific cases, according to estimated costs per service and per day of use (see Table 3). The first illustration is based on a simulation of the life of a single man in his forties who requires a high level of support, with drug, alcohol and mental health problems. The second illustration considers the case of a young homeless woman with two children, who lives on the streets after a separation because she was unable to bear the costs of her home alone. The third illustration simulates the situation of a person with significant mental health problems who lives alone and who finds himself on the streets due to unpaid rent. These first three illustrations are inspired by scenarios taken from studies by Pleace [2013]. The final illustration is based on an ad hoc simulation of the life of an individual with no health problems and very little use of services for the homeless. We have thus established that the annual cost of homelessness varies between 30 000 and 85 000 euros per year, depending on the type of profile and the use of dedicated services.
Table 3. Estimated annual cost of four profiles of homeless people based on data from 2019
Source: DULBEA calculations. The figures are from 2019, the last year for which complete data were available when the study was conducted
6Faced with the increase in the number of homeless people in New York in the 1990s and the realisation that a significant proportion of these people – who were suffering from mental illness or addiction – were not benefitting from the traditional programmes to fight homelessness, a thorough rethinking of these programmes took place [Pleace, 2016]. In traditional programmes, abstinence and total sobriety are required of individuals before they can obtain housing, as the final step in a long process [Tsemberis, Gulcur and Nakae, 2004]. In order to meet the needs of this population, an innovative model which reverses the codes has been developed, whereby housing is considered a fundamental right. Instead of being the last step in a process, it becomes the first, and beneficiaries can decide whether or not to undergo treatment. Programmes such as these have also existed in Belgium since 2013, under the name Housing First. They include rehousing and intensive support.
7In order to compare the cost of homelessness in BCR with the cost of rehousing, we have based ourselves on different scenarios in which people have access to social housing (or private housing at social rates) for which they pay part of the rent thanks to a replacement allowance (unemployment, incapacity for work, disability or social integration income), and can benefit from support (Housing First or traditional) if they choose to do so. Compared with street support, rehousing generates a number of specific additional costs, as shown in Figure 2.
Figure 2. Flow chart of costs related to rehousing in the Brussels-Capital Region
8However, the increase in these costs is associated with a reduced use of a number of services (whose costs are decreasing), as seen in the comparison in Table 4.
Table 4. Changes in the use of different services by Housing First beneficiaries in Belgium (number of days per person)
Source: Table based on data from the Valsamis report [2016]
9By estimating the average use of the above-mentioned services (Figure 1), and adding the social benefits, income and support available once people have been rehoused (Figure 2), we estimated that the total cost of rehousing could vary between 33 000 (social integration income + social housing and no support) and 74 000 euros per year (incapacity for work benefits + private housing with rent compensation, with support such as Housing First). Table 5 below details the cost of various scenarios. Generally speaking, we can see that with a social integration income, the cost of rehousing is the lowest, while the incapacity for work benefits generate the highest cost. We notice that the cost of rehousing can therefore sometimes be lower than the cost of homelessness, and is rarely much higher.
Table 5 Estimated average annual cost of a person rehoused in social housing, according to frequency of use of services and type of replacement income, with Housing First support in the Brussels-Capital Region in 2019
Source: DULBEA calculations
Table interpretation: For example, a person rehoused with Housing First support who receives disability income and makes moderate use of services (82 days/year) generates an annual cost of 54 618 euros.
- 2 Estimate based on the Bruxelles Logement rent simulator for a 40 m² studio in Forest and a 1-bedroo (...)
10If Housing First support is replaced by traditional support, the cost decreases by € 27 per day, i.e. € 9 855 per year. Finally, if a person is in private housing with rent compensation (the difference between the average rent for social housing and that for private housing is paid by the state, amounting to around € 300 per month2), this increases the cost of rehousing by around € 3 500 per year.
11This study has brought to light an important fact: in certain cases, the cost of rehousing is lower than the cost of remaining homeless. While this finding may be surprising, it has merely confirmed the intuition of frontline staff.
12However, our analysis was static, as it focused on the annual cost for a given year. It did not take into account the dynamic elements influencing the costs of the two options, very likely in opposite directions. Living on the streets can also worsen the health of homeless people, thus increasing their needs, as the prevalence of problems related to mental health, physical health and substance use is higher for homeless people than it is for the general population [Latimer et al., 2014]. On the other hand, once rehoused, a person may initially need more support and care, but thanks to better health, greater stability and possible employment, these needs may diminish over time, thus reducing costs. The comparison perhaps even leans more towards rehousing in certain specific cases. A study involving a dynamic analysis of the costs would be useful to confirm this point.