The Taiwan Strait has become one of the most closely watched fault lines in global politics. It sits at the centre of a fragile balance between the United States and China, where economic interdependence and strategic mistrust overlap. Much of the world’s trade, energy supply, and technological production now depends on peace around Taiwan. A crisis in the Strait would do far more than unsettle regional security; it would disrupt global supply chains, hinder the flow of food and energy, and interrupt the movement of semiconductors that sustain modern industries (Fong 2026a). For Washington and its partners, stability across the Strait is not only a security concern but a condition for keeping their industrial and technological strength intact. Taiwan’s importance lies less in its production capacity than in its ability to keep these systems running smoothly, allowing the global economy to function without interruption.
This article argues that the rivalry between the US and China is ...



