Navigation – Plan du site

AccueilNuméros178-179Economic evaluation of autonomous...

Economic evaluation of autonomous passenger transportation services: a systematic review and meta-analysis of simulation studies

Evaluation économique des services de transport de passagers autonomes : une revue systématique et une meta-analyse des résultats des simulations
Félix Carreyre, Nicolas Coulombel, Jaâfar Berrada et Laurent Bouillaut
p. 89-138

Résumé

In order to prepare for their deployment, mobility simulations have been used since the mid-2010s to investigate the effects of Autonomous Vehicles (AV) services. The aim of this study is to provide a review of which impacts were considered in simulation studies, to what extent, and for which results, with an emphasis on economic impacts. Taking cost-benefit analysis (CBA) as a reference framework for the economic evaluation of mobility services, we first establish a list of standard impact indicators in CBA studies. We carry out a descriptive statistical analysis to investigate the use of these indicators, completed by a meta-analysis for the indicators that received sufficient coverage from the literature. The results show evidence of strong use of performance and operational indicators in the simulation literature, but also expose a lack of in-depth analysis concerning environmental and social indicators. With regard to the intensity of impacts, the introduction of autonomous taxis should increase vehicle- kilometers traveled (VKT) by +23% and travel time by +17% compared to conventional private cars. At the same time, it could help to cut 17% of the present fleet size. This performance could be improved if autonomous taxis were shared, limiting the increase of VKT to +6% at the cost of only slightly longer travel times (+20% instead of +17%), while also increasing fleet reduction by up to -55%. Compared to conventional bus or train lines, these on-demand AV services could permit travel time to be reduced by half and could also reduce financial operating costs. On the other hand, they would increase fleet size and VKT by three to seven times their initial values. AV impacts could vary considerably depending on the socioeconomic landscape of the implementation area. Our findings call for evaluating AV services from a wider perspective than operational and financial prisms alone as is currently the case, such as using cost-benefit analysis.
JEL classification: H43, L92, L91.

Haut de page

Extrait du texte

Cairn

Texte intégral disponible via abonnement/accès payant sur le portail Cairn. Le texte intégral en libre accès sera disponible à cette adresse en janvier 2026.
Consulter cet article

Plan

1. Introduction
2. Methodology
2.1. Corpus selection
2.1.1. Search strategy
2.1.2. Screening
a. First corpus
b. Second corpus
2.2. Service nomenclature
2.3. Descriptive statistical analysis
2.3.1. Selection and classification of the indicators
2.3.2. Model types
2.4. Meta-analysis
2.4.1. Selection of indicators
2.4.2. Data extraction
3. Results and discussion
3.1. Descriptive statistical analysis
3.1.1. KPI occurrences
a. Results
b. Discussion
3.1.2. Model types
a. Results
b. Discussion
3.2. Meta-analysis of AV Impacts
3.2.1. Results
3.2.2. Discussion
4. Conclusion

Aperçu du texte

1. Introduction

As autonomous vehicles (AV) are becoming more of a reality, with significant technological progress (Pendleton et al., 2017) and numerous experiments (Antonialli, 2019; Stocker and Shaheen, 2019) being led across the world, an increasing number of studies are investigating the economic benefits as well as the costs that can be expected from the development of AV services. These studies have shown that the introduction of such services will have relatively diverse impacts (Narayanan et al., 2020). First, by making the act of driving no longer necessary, users will be able to engage in other activities, such as leisure or work, while sitting in their autonomous car. This is predicted to result in a weakening of the value of travel time savings for private mobility (Correia et al., 2019; Kolarova et al., 2019; Berrada et al., 2020), and subsequently in a reduction in the generalized cost of travel. Regarding public transportation (including taxis and ride-hailing), the a...

Haut de page

Pour citer cet article

Référence papier

Félix Carreyre, Nicolas Coulombel, Jaâfar Berrada et Laurent Bouillaut, « Economic evaluation of autonomous passenger transportation services: a systematic review and meta-analysis of simulation studies »Revue d'économie industrielle, 178-179 | 2022, 89-138.

Référence électronique

Félix Carreyre, Nicolas Coulombel, Jaâfar Berrada et Laurent Bouillaut, « Economic evaluation of autonomous passenger transportation services: a systematic review and meta-analysis of simulation studies »Revue d'économie industrielle [En ligne], 178-179 | 2e et 3e trimestres 2022, mis en ligne le 01 janvier 2026, consulté le 07 juin 2023. URL : http://journals.openedition.org/rei/11536 ; DOI : https://doi.org/10.4000/rei.11536

Haut de page

Auteurs

Félix Carreyre

VEDECOM, 23 bis allée des Marronniers, Versailles 78000, France
LVMT, Ecole des Ponts, Université Gustave Eiffel, Marne-la-Vallée, France

Nicolas Coulombel

LVMT, Ecole des Ponts, Université Gustave Eiffel, Marne-la-Vallée, France

Jaâfar Berrada

VEDECOM, 23 bis allée des Marronniers, Versailles 78000, France

Articles du même auteur

Laurent Bouillaut

Université Gustave Eiffel, COSYS/GRETTIA, Marne-la-Vallée, France

Haut de page

Droits d'auteur

CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Creative Commons - Attribution - Pas d'Utilisation Commerciale - Pas de Modification 4.0 International - CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Haut de page
  • Logo Revues électroniques de l’université de Nice
  • Revue soutenue par l’Institut des sciences humaines et sociales du CNRS
    CNRS - Institut national des sciences humaines et sociales
  • OpenEdition Journals
Rechercher dans OpenEdition Search

Vous allez être redirigé vers OpenEdition Search